SurpriseTrade, the 800 Simple Moving Average

Trading Spot Forex, Equities and Futures using "Long Term Moving Averages" as Support and Resistance. The strategy consist of breakouts from the 800 or 200 simple moving average (sma) Bollinger Band. Will take into account the 800sma, 200 sma, the 50 sma and recent high/lows as support and resistance. Reversal patterns "double bottom" or "double top" near a Bollinger Band will trigger a trade.

Sunday, June 22, 2014

Near Recent High for the Nzd/Jpy

The Nzd/Jpy pair had broken the 800sma SurpriseBox on the 4h chart to the upside. It had been very close to recent high this week.
Disclaimer: I trade the patterns depicted either at the entry point stated (e.g. trading channel, breakouts) or afterward. Although my trades are based on technical analysis, trading forex is a risky activity and may produce significant monetary loss. I only make public the trades that I am considering to make, or made and the rational for them. Not intended necessarily as trading recommendations. By SurpriseTrade@gmail.com


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Friday, May 9, 2014

CadJpy SurpriseTrade Complete

The Cad/Jpy pair had broken the 800sma SurpriseBox on the 60 min chart to the upside. The 200sma part of the SurpriseBox in a "Double Bottom Formation". It reached the expected price  corresponding to recent high.
Disclaimer: I trade the patterns depicted either at the entry point stated (e.g. trading channel, breakouts) or afterward. Although my trades are based on technical analysis, trading forex is a risky activity and may produce significant monetary loss. I only make public the trades that I am considering to make, or made and the rational for them. Not intended necessarily as trading recommendations. By SurpriseTrade@gmail.com


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Saturday, April 26, 2014

Eur/Cad hourly chart SurpriseTrade

The Eur/Cad pair had broken the 800sma SurpriseBox on the 60 min chart to the downside. The 200sma was set as the support. It reached the expected price  in less than 24 hours.
Disclaimer: I trade the patterns depicted either at the entry point stated (e.g. trading channel, breakouts) or afterward. Although my trades are based on technical analysis, trading forex is a risky activity and may produce significant monetary loss. I only make public the trades that I am considering to make, or made and the rational for them. Not intended necessarily as trading recommendations. By SurpriseTrade@gmail.com


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Wednesday, April 9, 2014

Usd/Mxd SurpriseTrade after FOMC Meeting

The Usd/Mxd pair had broken the 800sma SurpriseBox on the 15 min chart to the downside. Resistance of 200sma was broken with the move out of the box. The sudden decrease in price concurred after news event (FOMC Minutes). The brake formed a double top pattern. Recent low price expected to be reached although resistance might serve as target.
Disclaimer: I trade the patterns depicted either at the entry point stated (e.g. trading channel, breakouts) or afterward. Although my trades are based on technical analysis, trading forex is a risky activity and may produce significant monetary loss. I only make public the trades that I am considering to make, or made and the rational for them. Not intended necessarily as trading recommendations. By SurpriseTrade@gmail.com


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Tuesday, April 8, 2014

Double Bottom "SurpriseTrade" 30 min chart Gbp/Usd

The Gbp/Usd pair had broken the 800sma SurpriseBox on the 30 min chart to the upside. Resistance of 200sma was broken with the move out of the box. The sudden increase in price concurred prior to news event in two days (BOE Meeting). The brake formed a double bottom pattern. Recent high price was surpassed with the expected move afterward.
Disclaimer: I trade the patterns depicted either at the entry point stated (e.g. trading channel, breakouts) or afterward. Although my trades are based on technical analysis, trading forex is a risky activity and may produce significant monetary loss. I only make public the trades that I am considering to make, or made and the rational for them. Not intended necessarily as trading recommendations. By SurpriseTrade@gmail.com


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Thursday, February 20, 2014

First SurpriseTrade Challenge

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Saturday, February 15, 2014

SurpriseTrade 7 years - 1 Million Dollars Challenge

The SurpriseTrade 7-1 Challenge

Can a million dollars be made from a initial investment of only five hundred dollars? 

Can it be done in a time period of seven years trading forex?

That is the SurpriseTrade 7-1 Challenge. 

The following spreadsheet will be used as a guide:


Starting February 2014 and ending February 2021. 

  • Goal -- Over $1,000,000 by February 2021
  • Objective -- Gain 10% on average each month
    • Careful not to place a trade when market is slow.
    • Wait for the indicator to materialize, even after a month has passed.
  • Stratergy -- SurpriseTrade
    • Trade on breakouts of the box of support and resistance around the 200 period and 800 period moving average (200sma and 800sma). 
    • Will trade based on the 4 hour, 8 hour, daily and weekly chart. 
    • May trade based on the 15 minutes, 30 minutes and hourly charts only immediately after the release of news (example. FOMC meeting, Non-Farm Payroll Number Release, other).
    • The win to loose risk ratio has to be over one (the distance from the trade price to the target has to be the same or more that the distance from the trade price to the stop).
    • No more than 50% of margin will be placed in risk in a single trade.
  • Tactics -- Brakeout of the SurpriseBox has to be:
    • Double Bottom or Double Tops
    • Head and Shoulders or Inverted Head and Shoulders


Will post formations on twitter @surprisetrade


Examples of Recent SurpriseTrades











Again, formations will be posted on twitter @surprisetrade

Disclaimer: I trade the patterns depicted either at the entry point stated (e.g. trading channel, breakouts) or afterward. Although my trades are based on technical analysis, trading forex is a risky activity and may produce significant monetary loss. I only make public the trades that I am considering to make, or made and the rational for them. Not intended necessarily as trading recommendations. By SurpriseTrade@gmail.com




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Eight hours double bottom GBP/AUD at 200sma

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Friday, January 31, 2014


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